View Credit Analysis Report (605389003)

Aid605389003
StatusPublished
CategoryReport
SubcategoryInfrasturcture & utilities - Others
CoidYINSON
Appoletid0
Date Article2021-06-28 00:00:00
PublicYes
TitleYINSON HOLDINGS BERHAD - 2021
Content
Rating action     
MARC has assigned a corporate credit rating of A+ to Yinson Holdings Berhad (Yinson) with a stable outlook.

Rationale     
The assigned rating incorporates Yinson group’s strong business profile in providing floating, production, storage and offloading vessels (FPSOs) for the upstream oil and gas (O&G) industry. The group has long-term earnings visibility and healthy profit margins from sizeable long-term FPSO contracts. The rating is constrained by the group’s increasing leverage position and persistent negative free cash flow as a result of undertaking continued capex in line with its business growth. In addition, the weak-to-moderate credit profile of the charterers, most of whom are national oil companies in emerging countries such as Brazil, Nigeria, Ghana and Vietnam, remains a moderating factor.

With five FPSOs (another under construction) and one FSO, Yinson can be considered as a large independent global player in this segment. The group’s charter contracts with the aforementioned oil companies are structured to provide steady charter income that typically can stretch up to 25 years to fully cover the capital investment in the FPSOs. In the event of a contract termination, the contract provides for a termination fee to be paid to cover Yinson’s outstanding debt on the FPSO as well as an equity return. This recourse notwithstanding, Yinson is exposed to the credit profile of the charterers whose repayment capability is susceptible to oil price movements and geopolitical risk. Given that more than half of Yinson’s order book comprise clients with weak-to-moderate credit profile, the exposure would pose repayment risk; however, the rating agency understands that to date the group has not faced any repayment issues.

Yinson possesses strong technical expertise, initially gained from Norway-based Fred. Olsen Production ASA (FOP) which it fully acquired in 2014. FOP has been involved in the leasing of offshore floating production assets for more than 25 years and since the acquisition, Yinson has rapidly grown its FPSO segment. The group has been able to demonstrate strong capabilities during FPSO project development periods in terms of delivery and costs, and during the operational periods in terms of high FPSO uptime of above 99% in the last five years.

The group’s borrowings have risen by more than threefold to about RM8.0 billion, in tandem with the increase in charters; the borrowings were mainly incurred to fund the construction of FPSOs and are non-recourse to the holding company. In terms of contingent liabilities, the holding company generally provides a guarantee during the construction period. The borrowings are backed by payments under the charter contracts; however, payment risk will arise if charterers were to renege on their contractual obligations.

Borrowings will increase moderately for the construction of a new FPSO, FPSO Anna Nery. The group may raise new equity to part finance other projects to reduce pressure on its leverage position. Gross debt-to-equity (DE) ratio stood at 3.65x (net DE: 2.71x) as at end-January 2021 (FY2021) (FY2020: 2.95x; 2.19x). Excluding the non-recourse financing, Yinson’s DE ratio would stand lower at 1.63x. The DE ratio will be lower when the guarantee on financings for FPSO Anna Nery is released upon final acceptance of the FPSO.

Cash flow from operations (CFO) remains healthy, registering RM1.6 billion in FY2021 (FY2020: RM917.4 million) and providing interest cover of 3.19x. Free cash flow (FCF) remained negative at RM1.1 billion (FY2020: RM406.1 million) due to capex incurred for the construction of FPSO Anna Nery.

Yinson registered revenue of RM1.5 billion (excluding a one-off revenue recognition from lease commencement of the FPSO) and pre-tax profit of RM580 million in FY2021. Its pre-tax profit margin was a strong 39.9%. Going forward, the deployment of FPSO Anna Nery in Brazil in 2Q2023 will provide a boost to revenue growth that will offset the revenue losses from three expiring FPSO charter contracts over the next three years. Revenue would also be supported by Yinson’s recent ventures into renewable energy, particularly in India where it acquired a substantial stake in Rising Sun Energy Private Limited (RSE), which has an ongoing 140MW solar power plant (SPP) and a 190MW SPP in development. Yinson established a division in September 2020 to focus on further investments in green technologies.

Rating outlook     
The stable rating outlook reflects our expectation that the group will maintain its business and credit profiles that are broadly in line with the rating band over the next 12 months.

Rating trajectory

Upside scenario     
Any rating upgrade will be premised on an improvement in its credit profile, in particular its borrowings levels such that its recourse DE ratio is below 0.7x and CFO debt and interest coverages are consistently above 0.2x and 3.0x. 

Downside scenario     
Rating pressures would arise if its financial metrics deteriorate from weak project execution, operational issues or counterparty defaults.

Key strengths
  • Established market position in FPSO segment 
  • Recurring revenue streams backed by long-term FPSO charter contracts 
  • Strong operational track record
Key risks
  • Weak-to-moderate credit profile of charterers
  • Increased leverage position


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