FARM FRESH BERHAD - 2023 |
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| Report ID | 60538900469431 | Popularity | 342 views 95 downloads | |||||
| Report Date | Apr 2023 | Product | ||||||
| Company / Issuer | Farm Fresh Berhad (fka The Holstein Milk Company Sdn Bhd) | Sector | Manufacturing - Food Products | |||||
| Price (RM) |
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| Rationale |
Rating action MARC Ratings has affirmed its rating of AA-IS on Farm Fresh Berhad’s Islamic Medium-Term Notes (IMTN) Programme of RM1.0 billion under the Shariah principle of Wakalah Bi Al-Istithmar. The rating outlook is stable. The outstanding under the rated programme stood at RM200.0 million as of March 30, 2023. Rationale Farm Fresh remains the largest vertically integrated dairy farming player domestically with a well-established distribution network. It currently operates 2,829 acres of farmland domestically with 6,308 dairy cattle, and 2,538 acres of farmland in Victoria, Australia, with 2,666 dairy cattle as at end-September 2022. The rating affirmation incorporates Farm Fresh’s strong market position, particularly in the chilled ready-to-drink (RTD) segment with a market share of 49.4%, and growing processing capacity from 137.0 million litres p.a. to 197.5 million litres p.a. of finished goods by end-2025. In terms of production output, Farm Fresh has witnessed a 23% y-o-y growth to 46.4 million litres for the six-month period ending September 30, 2022 (1HFY2023). This reflects the growing demand for milk in Malaysia. Revenue grew by 25.2% y-o-y to RM468.3 million in 9MFY2023, supported by the government’s school milk programme initiated in 2022. Nonetheless, rising cost pressures, particularly from higher dairy raw materials and cattle feed costs, have weighed on operating profit margin which declined to 12.0% (9MFY2022: 15.3%). To mitigate this, the group increased the selling price for its chilled RTD products by an average of 5% in mid-July 2022 for the Malaysian market and an average of 10% in August 2022 for the Singaporean market. In addition, stocking up of feed and raw milk inventory to mitigate the impact of supply chain disruptions during the pandemic and more recently on expectation of seasonal increase in demand during the Ramadhan month, has led to a negative cash flow from operations (CFO) of RM43.1 million in 9MFY2023. We also note that Farm Fresh has recently proposed to acquire a 65% equity stake in ice cream retailer The Inside Scoop Sdn Bhd (TISSB) for RM83.9 million, to diversify into the higher margin product in the consumer packaged goods market. Post-acquisition, Farm Fresh plans to double the existing outlets by 2026. The acquisition, which is expected to be completed in May 2023, will be funded partly by its initial public offering (IPO) proceeds amounting to RM63.9 million (21.3% of IPO proceeds) and the balance through new share issuance. MARC Ratings views execution risk associated with any expansion plans following the acquisition as a rating concern, given the highly competitive nature of the ice cream retailing segment. Of its total IPO proceeds of RM300.1 million, Farm Fresh had utilised 28.5% as at end-9MFY2023 mainly for production capacity expansion. Borrowings rose to RM351.5 million, translating to a moderate gross debt-to-equity (DE) ratio of 0.56x as at end-9MFY2023 (FY2022: RM284.6 million; 0.47x). However, over the medium term, we do not expect any sharp increase in borrowing levels given its expansion plans would still be funded by the balance of IPO proceeds. Rating outlook The stable outlook reflects our expectations that Farm Fresh will broadly maintain its credit profile within the current levels over the next 12 months. Rating trajectory Upside scenario Any upward movement in the rating and/or outlook is unlikely in the near term. Any upgrade would consider a sustained operating performance and improvement in its leverage position. Downside scenario The rating could come under pressure if financial performance deteriorates sharply due to an increase in business risks and/or if borrowings increase substantially, leading to a weakening balance sheet, in particular a gross leverage ratio of above 0.8x. Key strengths
Key risks
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