CREDIT ANALYSIS REPORT

S P SETIA BERHAD - 2023

Report ID 60538900469462 Popularity 400 views 111 downloads 
Report Date Jun 2023 Product  
Company / Issuer S P Setia Bhd Sector Property
Price (RM)
Normal: RM500.00        
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Rationale
Rating action      

MARC Ratings has affirmed its AAIS rating on S P Setia Berhad’s RM3.0 billion Islamic Medium-Term Notes (IMTN) Programme with a stable outlook. The outstanding under the programme currently stands at RM2.0 billion. 

Rationale 

The affirmed rating primarily reflects S P Setia's entrenched market position in township development and healthy sales track record, underpinned by sizeable landbank in strategic locations which provides strong developmental opportunities. The rating incorporates a one-notch uplift on MARC Ratings’ assumption of support extended by parent Permodalan Nasional Berhad (PNB) to S P Setia if needed. The rating is moderated by the potential impact of the challenging economic conditions and higher interest rate environment following recent hikes in the overnight policy rate (OPR) on the domestic property market.

Ongoing domestic projects carried a gross development value (GDV) of RM7.8 billion and recorded an average take-up rate of 72% as at end-2022. S P Setia’s continued focus on developing landed residential projects in matured locations with good infrastructure connectivity and prices ranging from RM500,000 to RM1.0 million per unit has been the key sales driver. It had sizeable unbilled sales amounting to RM3.6 billion. In 1Q2023, it launched developments worth RM683.0 million in GDV, mainly comprising landed homes in its existing townships.

S P Setia has recorded moderate-to-strong take-up rates for its foreign projects. Its two high-rise projects in Melbourne, Australia — the 325-unit Sapphire by the Gardens project (GDV: RM1.20 billion, 97% take-up) and Phase 1 of the 635-unit UNO Melbourne project (overall GDV: RM1.39 billion, 88% overall take-up) were fully completed by end-2022. Phase 2 of the UNO Melbourne project, comprising 432 units, is expected to be completed in 3Q2023. For its Battersea Project in the United Kingdom — in which it holds a 40%-interest — completed residential projects under Phase 2 and Phase 3A have achieved a combined take-up rate of 91% while 90% of available commercial space has been fully leased. 

In 1Q2023, group pre-tax profit y-o-y remained largely unchanged at RM116.0 million, on the back of RM1.0 billion worth of new property sales which is in line with its full year target of RM4.2 billion. Contribution from its build-then-sell developments in Australia boosted group revenue by 18.4% y-o-y to RM4.5 billion in 2022. However, higher construction costs and interest expense led to a marginal increase in pre-tax profit of 4.0% y-o-y to RM564.1 million.

MARC Ratings understands that management will incorporate the higher construction costs in its pricing to improve margins. The group will also limit exposure to floating-rate borrowings by refinancing some of its term obligations through new issuances of up to RM1.0 billion under the rated programme. 

Completed inventories rose marginally to RM1.2 billion as at end-1Q2023, mainly due to the build-then-sell nature of the Melbourne projects, where some units are to be delivered. The strong sales for the ongoing domestic projects alleviate concerns of a marked increase in inventory over the near term. 

As at end-1Q2023, group borrowings reduced to RM10.9 billion (end-2021: RM12.6 billion), with its gross debt-to-equity (DE) ratio improving to 0.71x from 0.80x as at end-2021; this is expected to decline further in the near term, mainly through proceeds from repatriation of profit from foreign projects and planned sales of land parcels. Cash balances of RM2.4 billion as at end-March 2023 provide buffer to meet its upcoming financial and contractual obligations. 

Rating outlook

The stable outlook assumes S P Setia will broadly maintain its credit profile in line with the rating band over the next 12-18 months.  


Rating trajectory

Upside scenario

An upgrade on the standalone rating is not likely in the near term given the inherent risk in its foreign property projects and the challenging prospect of the domestic property market.

Downside scenario

The standalone rating will come under pressure if leverage rises sharply from the projected level and/or if the group were to undertake debt-funded acquisitions that will significantly increase its borrowing level.

Key strengths
  • Well-established market position in township development
  • Good sales track record
  • Strong earnings visibility from sizeable unbilled sales
Key risks
  • Strengthening balance sheet structure
  • Impact on interest rate hikes on property demand


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